USD/CHF dived to new record low of 0.7065 last week but staged a strong rebound since then as the Swiss Franc pulled back sharply after SNB comments. At short term bottomed is formed at 0.7065 and we'd expect more consolidations above this level for a while. Further rebound is expected initially this week to 0.7801 resistance and above. Though, we'd expect upside to be limited below 0.8081 resistance and bring another fall to extend the consolidations. Below 0.7548 minor support will flip bias back to the downside for retesting 0.7065 first.

In the bigger picture, while the rebound from 0.7065 was strong, there is no indication of trend reversal yet. We'll stay bearish as long as 0.8275 support turned resistance holds. Current down trend from 1.1730 is still expected to extend through 0.7 psychological level. Though, that would come after some more consolidations above 0.7065 first. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 0.8275 will indicate that such fall from 1.1740 has finished and open up the possibility of rebound back to 0.9634 support turned resistance.

In the longer term picture, long term down trend from 2000 high of 1.8305 is still in progress. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But after all, USD/CHF should be resuming the set of impulsive fall from 1.8305 to 1.1288. The current down trend might now be targeting next projection level of 100% projection of 1.8305 to 1.1288 from 1.3283 at 0.6266.

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