Forex Technical Update

Previous: USD/JPY - Triangle Breakout Focuses on 77.66 and Long-term Bottom (9/11)

USD/JPY Daily Chart 9:30AM EDT 9/11/2012


After a brief stop at the previous support pivot, the USD/JPY is breaking below the 77.66 level ahead of the much anticipated statement from Bernanke on QE3 later today (9/13) at 2:00PM EDT, 18:00GMT. QE3 expectation is pressuring the USD and giving JPY strength across the board. The USD and JPY are rivals for safe haven flow, and since the QE3 lowers the value of the greenback, the Japanese Yen is benefiting.

However as USD/JPY gravitates toward the bottom created off the all-time low, the possibility of demand should probably be considered. But first consider that QE3 affirmation has the chance to send the USD/JPY below a rising trendline seen in the weekly chart. This exposes the 76.55, and then the 78.56 all-time low.

A position trade who believes that the all-time low will hold might start building long positions as the market nears 76.50. It might take a long time to find this bottom again, but if the market is in the longer-term taking a sideways mode instead of a bearish continuation, a conservative upside target is back to the 80-80.60 area, the central pivot area of the range the pair could be forming.

USD/JPY weekly Chart 9:35AM EDT 9/13/2012


Fan Yang CMT is the Chief Technical Strategist, trader, educator and a of the main contributors to FXTimes - provider of Forex News, Analysis, Education, Videos, Charts, and other trading resources.

Information and opinions contained in this report are for educational purposes only and do not constitute an investment advice. While the information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, author does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. FXTimes will not accept liability for any loss of profit or damage which may arise directly, indirectly or consequently from use of or reliance on the trading set-ups or any accompanying chart analysis.