Andrew Luck is coming off one of the best rookie QB performances in NFL history, while the Jaguars are wondering whether or not Blaine Gabbert can even play in this league. Does this make the Colts a no-brainer pick on Thursday night?
The look-ahead line last week had the Jacksonville Jaguars as -1 point favorites. After Week 9, the line re-opened at -3 (odds from SBRforum). As it stands now, 81% of the betting public are on the road team, but the books have remained stubborn and haven't moved the line. This shouldn't come as a big surprise because Indy haven't been the best road this season and "sharp money" has come in on the Jaguars at home all year. If the line does move to -3.5, I imagine sharps will once again take their chances with the home dog.
By the Numbers