The Bengals are souring. The Texans are tanking. Is that all there is too it? Let's dive in and take a closer look at the first playoff game of the weekend.
It was only logical for the Texans to settle in as -4.5 point favorites for this game. The line opened up at the "dead" number of -5, but early action came in on the underdog. There was a point where the line fell all the way to -4 at one point, but it didn't last long given that it's a key number (odds from SBRforum).Where is money going to go in the final couple days? If anything, I'd expect more money coming in on the Bengals given the way both teams have played down the stretch. This line could close at -4, but I'd be surprised if we saw a ton of movement either way.
Bengals Are a No-Brainer?
Last week the Vikings pulled off an impressive upset win at home to clinch a playoff spot. Their reward? Go to Lambeau field and try to do it again. That could be wishful thinking if you're a Minnesota fan, and especially if your name is Christian Ponder.
This is an interesting point spread to say the least. The Packers opened as -8 point favorites and it hasn't move anywhere since (odds from SBRforum). If sharp money loved the dog we would have most certainly seen a move closer to the key number of "7". That said, the Packers are a very public team. Perhaps sharps are waiting for the best line they can get. Either way the game sits in the teaser window at the moment. If you wanted to pair the Packers at -2 with either the Ravens or Redskins, the option is there. Personally, I don't like either of those choices.
The big showdown of the day resides in the NFC East. Tony Romo and the Dallas Cowboys take on Robert Griffin III for the division crown, and all eyes will be watching. Let's take a closer look at the betting angles.
Last week, Vegas didn't have a look-ahead line for this game thanks to the unknown status of Robert Griffin III. In fact, we didn't see a point spread for this game until late this week either. Not many quarterbacks have meant as much to their team as RG3, so his health is going to single-handedly swing a lot of money by kickoff. The interesting aspect of the opening line is that the sportsbook made it clear which team they thought had the edge when they made the Redskisn -3.5 point favorites. Since then money has come in on the Cowboys and right now the number sits between -3.5 and -3 (odds from SBRforum). You can grab the favorable number for each side by paying a little extra juice.
The most watched game of the day is also going to be the most bet game of the day. I think it's safe to say everyone is looking forward to this match-up, especially those of us who love great defense. Let's take a closer look at what the betting angles are.
Before Week 15, Vegas had the 49ers as -2 point favorites in this game. Despite a statement win in Foxboro, the Seahawks re-opened as -1 point favorites on Sunday. Not much has changed during the week either, but there has been some late money on Seattle today. You can find Seattle at -1, but some books have them as high as -3, too (odds from SBRforum). That is kind of surprising because the 49ers are sure to be popular teaser choices at anything above +1.5. Normally when I like a short favorite, I tell people to grab them at anything under -3, but given how tight this could be, I suggest to get the best number possible. Laying more than -1 could come into the equation here.
Any Analysis Needed?
If this game was on Sunday, I don't think very many people would be interested in it outside of each respective fan base. Yet, here we are. A prime-time tilt between the Jets and the Titans. Let's take a closer look at the betting angles.
Just like the game itself, there isn't much to report in the betting marketplace. Vegas put up the Titans as -1.5 point favorites in the look-ahead line. When it re-opened on Sunday, it opened at -1 (odds from SBRforum). Don't read anything into this though because sportsbooks often do this to keep it out of the "teaser window".