Have the Bills turned the corner? Are the Rams on the verge of a flat performance after riding high vs the 49ers? Let's see how it will shake out.
MarketsThe standard consensus regarding home field advantage lies somewhere around 2.5/3 points on the point spread. Of course not all home fields are equal, but is Vegas trying to tell us these teams are even on a neutral field? If so, I'm more than happy to grab a full field goal with the Rams.In fact, nothing that happened on the weekend seemed to change bookmakers minds either. The look ahead line also had the Bills -3 (odds from SBRforum). If I had to set this line I'd make Buffalo -1 to -1.5 point favorites. There were signs early in the season where it looked like the Rams were going to have a home/road dichotomy this year, but they've bucked the trend and currently sit at 4-1 ATS on the road. I'll take it.
The Dallas Cowboys are in the middle of another disappointing season. Meanwhile, the Bengals are riding on a surprising hot streak. Should we expect much of the same in Week 14?
MarketsThis was a line move that I saw coming from a mile away. The Bengals were -1.5 point favorites in the look-ahead line last week, but after the weekend they re-opened at -3 (odds from SBRforum).The problem for Vegas is that the move wasn't enough. The Bengals are doing a lot of things right (Week 13 turnovers aside). Meanwhile, the Cowboys continue to struggle with the same flaws that have plagued them all year. This line should be -3.5 at the minimum, but I would've opened it at -4 myself.
Dallas: the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly
Thanksgiving Day kicks off a triple-header with the Detroit Lions hosting the Houston Texans. Are they primed to upset the AFC powerhouse or will they come up short once again? Let's take a closer look at why I think the Texans will continue to roll.
If you like storylines, this is a game for you. Does Eli Manning have a "tired" arm? How big is the "revenge" factor? Can the Giants rebound off the bye? Will the Packers overcome their injuries? Let's dig in.
Can anyone stop the Tampa Bay Buccaneers? They pulled off the unlikely comeback in Week 11 vs the Panthers, but they face a much stiffer test when the NFC leading Atlanta Falcons come to town. Let's take a closer look at why I think the Bucs win streak comes to an end this Sunday.
MarketsThere's not a lot to report on this point spread. Last week Vegas had the Falcons favored by one point, but after the weekend it's re-opened as "pick em" (odds from SBRforum). In this specific match-up a fair argument can be made for either team so I understand throwing the game up as a pick em, but I see the advantages in favor of the Falcons that put them over the top. Power Rankings?These two teams are getting the most attention in the polls so far this week and there's also been a lot of debate about where they should be on the power rankings. Football Outsiders have them side by side each other at 12th and 13th respectively. Meanwhile, the national media ESPN boys have the Falcons 2nd and the Bucs 10th.