Below we have 2 videos from Bloomberg from two of the world's most watched mavens.  Frankly, Jan Hatzius has had a rough year in forecasting - he was amongst those who was calling for 4% type of growth in the U.S. economy, and seems to have been blindsided by the turn in the economy.  That said, he is generally a smart man.  El-Erian of course is usually the brightest bulb in most rooms he is standing in.

(Unfortunately, I don't see a way to stop the Bloomberg videos from auto starting - so you will have to pause one video to watch the other)

4 minute video with El-Erian

7 minute video with Hatzius