I first saw Gerard Celente on one of those Fox Business shows when the network was new and I was exploring what it was offering. (as an aside Fox Business debut pretty much marked the top in the S&P 500!) A quirky fellow... but I found many of his views intersected with mine. I went to go look at his website after the interview and I was pretty impressed with his old calls. Quite a bit of is social rather than just pure economics so being a student of humankind, I find his broader talking points quite fascinating. He is not afraid to say things that makes Americans uncomfortable - and hopefully makes them think if they are open minded about the society we have created. You will recognize many similar themes to what has been seen in these web pages the past 3+ years. Since he makes me look like Kool Aid Drinker in Chief, I hesitated to post some of his interviews until they were in a business format. CNBC would never have a charlatan like this on their prestigious channel, so we had to wait for Yahoo Tech Ticker to do an interview with him - that happened early this year. It was his normal 'happy' stuff. [Jan 12, 2010: Trend Forecaster Gerard Celente on Yahoo Tech Ticker]
As they say in the movies... he's baaaaaaack. (p.s. sweet suit Celente!)
Thus far Yahoo Tech Ticker has posted 2 videos - if there is a 3rd (they usually do 3 with each guest), I'll edit and throw it at the end of this piece. If nothing else and you completely disagree - much like Howard Davidowitz, he is very entertaining.
(I) And Now We're Headed for the Greatest Depression
The fake recovery was nice while it lasted, says famous apocalyptic forecaster Gerald Celente, founder of the Trends Research Institute. But now the fun's over, and we're headed for what Celente describes as the Greatest Depression.
Specifically, the always startling Celente says the country is headed for rising unemployment, poverty, and violent class warfare as the government efforts to keep the economy going begin to fail.
The crux of the problem, Celente argues, is that the middle class has been wiped out. America used to be a land of opportunity for all, where hard-working people could build their own small businesses in their own communities and live prosperous and fulfilling lives. But now a collusion of state and corporate interests that Celente describes as fascism have conspired to help only the biggest companies and the richest Americans. This has put a shocking amount of the country's wealth in the hands of a privileged few and left the rest of the country to subsist on chicken-feed wages and low job satisfaction as Wal-Mart associates -- or worse.
The answer, Celente says, is to bring back the laws that prevented huge companies from getting so big and powerful, and put some opportunity back in the hands of ordinary people. But doing that is going to take a while. And in the meantime, we're headed for trouble.
(II) America Won the Cold War But Now is Turning into USSR
There's a lot of talk these days about America being an empire in decline. Gerald Celente, director of the Trends Research Institute, goes a step further, arguing America is following a similar path as the former Soviet Union.
While the many glaring differences between the two political systems have been exhaustively publicized - especially in the U.S. - the glaring similarities [go] unnoticed, Celente writes in The Trends Journal, which he publishes.
In the accompanying video, Celente describes some of these similarities, including:
A rotten political system: He compares politicians (Democrats and Republicans alike) to Mafioso and says campaign contributions are really thinly disguised bribes and payoffs.
Crony capitalism: Like in the USSR of old, Celente laments that so much of America's wealth (93%) is controlled by such a small group small portion of its population (10%). Owing to that concentration of wealth, the government makes policies designed to reward the bigs at the expense of average citizens (see: Bailouts, banks).
Military-industrial complex: The USSR went bankrupt fighting the cold war and Celente fears the U.S. is squandering its greater but still finite resources on a gargantuan defense budget, fighting unwinnable hot wars and feeding an insatiable military stationed on hundreds of bases worldwide.
As with many observers, Celente thinks America will suffer the same fate in Afghanistan as the USSR, the British Empire, Alexander the Great and all others who've ventured into the graveyard of empires.
The irony, of course, is that while America defeated Soviet Communism and won the Cold War, perhaps our greatest threat today comes from China and its booming state-controlled economy.