WXRISK.COM  

MONDAY   A/C/E/    535  PM CDT   26  JULY  2010

CURRENTLY... 

The late afternoon radar   http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full.php        is finally showing significant activity across the Delta and portions of the southeast states. There are numerous clusters of showers and thunderstorms across central MO 60% coverage... central and northern ARK (65% coverage) ... over central and eastern TX (50% coverage) and over eastern TN far northeast AL and far northwest GA into SC....60% coverage of those areas. ALL of OK KS NEB SD ND eastern MT eastern WY eastern COL and the Midwesr regions are Dry.

Any Late Day  Model  changes?  (12z   European   comes out at   115 pm CDT...  Euro  Ensembles   330pm  CDT ...  18z  GFS   5PM  CDT)

The 12z Monday European model continues to argue against any sort of ridge or dome trying to build back into the Midwest or the plains in any way in the 6-10 day and or the 11-15 day. By day 6 the Dome over the Southeast states has moved back to the central Lower Plains... and by day 9-10 the Dome is located over

COL UT NM and western TX. Over the eastern half of the the Conus in the 6-10 day there are 2 cold fronts that sweep through the Midwest and off the East coast . This trough in the Jet stream means strong cold fronts at the surface.... so again the 12z euor shows NO heat threat of any kind.

 

CPC's   6-10 DAY  and   11-15  DAY 

6-10 DAY MAPS... shows a large  area of    ABOVE  NORMAL temperatures  covering ALL of the   Plains.... all of the Midwest and  Deep South  and into the   Middle Atlantic  region.  Embedded in that area  is a region of MUCH ABOVE NORMAL  temps  over   the Lower  WCB and  Lower  ECB   as well as the   Deep South.        

There is a large  area  of ABOVE NORMAL rainfall  over    eastern AZ  eastern UT   western NM  WY   NEB MN WI IA    into   all   of the ECB... the Middle Atlantic  and  Northeast.   There is  an area  of    BELOW  NORMAL  rainfall  area over  the  Lower Plains.  

TEMPS:   http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif 

PRECIP   http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610prcp.new.gif

WXRISK's commets on 6-10 day:     The  Midwest  is   way too  HOT

8-14 DAY MAPS... shows a large  area of    ABOVE  NORMAL temperatures  covering all of the  Plains Midwest  and  Delta  and most of the   Northeast --  except for New  England.     Embedded  in that areas  is a large region  of MUCH ABOVE   NORMAL  temperatures   over  southern IA  MO and Northern ARK   western ILL   western TN and  northern MS.   

There is a large  area  of ABOVE NORMAL rainfall   running   from   eastern UT   eastern  AZ   COL  WY  eastern  MT...into   ND  SD   NEB....  into the  WCB and  all of the ECB... into   the   Middle Atlantic   states.     Embedded  in  that  region a small   area of MUCH ABOVE NORMAL  rainfall    over  ND  SD  southern MN and   IA.    There is an area of  BELOW  NORMAL   rainfall over  TX and OK.   TEMPS http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif 

PRECIP http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814prcp.new.gif 

WXRISK's comments on 8-14 day:     The  Midwest  is   way too  HOT  and it is    too wet   East of  Interstate  35.  .      

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