By | November 21 2011 1:50 PM

USD - Fragile investor confidence in global sovereign debt was dealt another blow overnight by reports that the US Super Committee has failed to reach an agreement on plans for budget cuts totaling at least USD1.2 trillion. The failure to reach an agreement between the Republicans and Democrats should result in the imposition of automatic cuts to domestic and defense spending totaling USD1.2 trillion, which are set to take effect from 2013. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that around 71% of the cuts would come from discretionary areas such as education, the environment, transport, housing assistance, and veteran's health care. The imposition of automatic cuts should satisfy the credit ratings agencies for now with the US's sovereign rating on negative watch but could worsen the fiscal drag in the US next year with a lower probability of the government extending the payrolls tax cuts and insurance benefits for unemployed. The potential negative implications for future US and global growth should prove more USD supportive in the near-term outweighing the negative implications for the US credit risk premium, thus the EUR/USD may test the year's low of 1.2907 before year end.