Two hundred and seventy is the magic number. That's how many electoral votes it takes for a presidential candidate to win on Election Day. With 13 days left in the campaign, it appears Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton has a number of paths to get to the magic number.
Clinton, simply by being a Democrat, almost certainly has a number of reliably blue states locked up including California (worth a massive 55 electoral votes), Washington state (worth 12 electoral votes), New York (worth 29 electoral votes), Oregon (worth 7 electoral votes) and Illinois (worth 20 electoral votes), among a handful of others. Republican nominee Donald Trump meanwhile will likely take GOP-leaning states like Texas (worth 38 electoral votes), Mississippi (worth 6 electoral votes) and Louisiana (worth 8 electoral votes).
But the race really comes down to the so-called purple states, meaning they're not consistently red or blue. There's a number of states that seem to be too close to call, according to recent polling. Florida and Ohio are two valuable states that appear to fall in that category. While both candidates have launched all-out offensives on those states, others that could have helped swing the election have seemingly settled into the Clinton "win" basket.
The polls-only election forecast from data driven website FiveThirtyEight has potential swing states like New Hampshire, Colorado, Nevada and, most importantly, Pennsylvania, leaning hard to the left with just two weeks left before the vote. FiveThirtyEight, as of about midday Wednesday, gave Clinton an 86.2 percent chance of winning New Hampshire, 86.8 percent for Colorado, 70.9 percent for Nevada and 87 percent for Pennsylvania, which is worth 20 electoral votes.
Others in the election-predictions business seem to be in lock step with FiveThirtyEight. Sabato's Crystal Ball, which is led by and named after the University of Virginia's Larry Sabato, posted to its blog last week a map that showed Clinton was on pace to win a whopping 352 electoral votes. The New York Times' Upshot had Clinton's chances of winning at 92 percent Wednesday, putting states like New Hampshire, Colorado and Pennsylvania comfortably on the former secretary of state's side.
While these predictions, based on polls, appear to show good news for Clinton, she warned her supporters to ignore the surveys at a rally in Florida Tuesday.
"I hope you will come out and vote because it’s going to be a close election. Pay no attention to the polls. Don’t forget, don’t get complacent, because we’ve got to turn people out," she said.