There is a major gap between the NFL’s top teams and the rest of the league in the 2015 season. Nearly two-thirds of the teams don’t have a winning record, and a few of them could be in for big losses in Week 10.

The Detroit Lions (1-7) have the worst record in the NFL, and they are getting 11.5 points in their visit to Green Bay, according to On Monday night, the Houston Texans (3-5) are 10.5-point underdogs against the Cincinnati Bengals (8-0). The Packers (6-2) and Bengals should be victorious this weekend, and a few other winning teams have an even better chance to win big on Sunday.

There’s no such thing as a “sure thing” when it comes to betting, but here are the three surest bets for Week 10 of the 2015 NFL season.

Denver Broncos (-6)

Peyton Manning and Co. have owned the Kansas City Chiefs over the last few years. When Denver hosts Kansas City on Sunday, they should get their eighth consecutive win over their rivals by at least seven points.

The Broncos got a seven-point win over the Chiefs earlier this season, and Denver should win by even more in Week 10, now that they are playing at home and Kansas City is without their best player. The Chiefs scored 45 points in their last game, but that’s only because they faced the Lions, who have been the NFL’s worst team. In their previous three games, Kansas City averaged just 19 points per game, and they’ll have a lot of trouble moving the ball without Jamaal Charles against the league’s best defense.

Even after allowing 27 points in their first loss of the season, Denver ranks first in both points and yards allowed. Kansas City is 24th in total offense, and they’ll rank even lower after Sunday’s game. The Broncos are 3-0 at home, allowing 14.3 points and 212.7 yards per game.

Carolina Panthers (-5.5)

They don’t have big names on offense and they weren’t expected to be a Super Bowl contender at the start of the season, but the Panthers have been the NFC’s best team through the first half of the 2015 season. Carolina should be favored by a touchdown in Tennessee, making them a good bet to cover the 5.5-point spread against the Titans.

Carolina’s offense has been one of the most consistent in the NFL. They’ve scored at least 20 points in every game, and the Panthers haven’t scored fewer than 27 points in any of their last six games. Tennessee will have a tough time matching that kind of offense, considering they scored 13 points or less in each of their four games prior to scoring 28 points in regulation last week. Marcus Mariota has two separate four-touchdown games, but Carolina ranks No.1 in opponents’ passer rating.

The Panthers would be double-digit favorites at home, but they shouldn’t be negatively affected by playing in Tennessee. Carolina won their first two road games by at least 11 points, and they won in Seattle, which might be the toughest place to play in the NFL. The Titans have no home-field advantage, going 2-15 in their last 17 home games.

Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5)

Philadelphia might not be the Super Bowl contender that some experts predicted them to be at the beginning of the year, but they have played well lately, winning three of their last four games. The Miami Dolphins have been blown out in two straight games, and their visit to Philadelphia could result in another big loss.

The Dolphins played well in their first two games after head coach Joe Philbin was fired, but that was quickly forgotten as the team lost two straight games by 45 total points. Miami has a habit of not being competitive when they lose, suffering each of their last four defeats by at least 13 points. The Dolphins took advantage of playing bad teams when interim coach Dan Campbell took over, but against teams with a .500 record or better, Miami is 0-4, losing by an average score of 34-13.

The improvement in their running game might be the biggest reason why the Eagles have just one loss since Week 5. DeMarco Murray and the rest of the Eagles ground game should have a field day against the Dolphins, who rank second-to-last in run defense.

Season Record: 15-9