For the second consecutive week, the 2015 NFL playoffs are not expected to see any road teams walk away with a victory. Every home team is a significant favorite in the divisional round, and no underdog is getting fewer than six points.
The Ravens were the only team on Wild Card Weekend to win on the road, though the Cowboys won while failing to cover the spread. In the second-round, three teams are favored by at least a touchdown, including the defending champs, who are giving their opponent more than 10 points.
All eight teams have a record of .500 or better against the spread this season. The Colts lead the way with 11 wins against the betting line, and the Ravens and Broncos are in last with eight wins.
Below are picks against the spread and updated betting odds for every game in the second round of the playoffs.
The Ravens pulled off the only upset win on Wild Card Weekend, and they have a chance to do the same on Saturday. Baltimore has a history of playing well in New England, winning at Gillette Stadium in the 2013 AFC championship Game, and losing by three points to the Patriots in the previous conference title game. New England hasn’t lost a game that’s meant something at home since they were defeated by Baltimore, but the Ravens have a good chance to keep the game close, having covered the spread in their last six playoff games.
Prediction ATS: Baltimore
The Seahawks are the favorites to win the Super Bowl, and though the Panthers haven’t lost since November, they’ll have a tough time staying in this game. Carolina has beaten up on bad teams in the last five weeks, and they’ve struggled against top competition. Cam Newton is the worst quarterback that’s still in the playoffs, and he’s likely to have trouble against the league’s No.1 pass defense. The Panthers only scored nine points in their home game with the Seahawks in Week 8, and they might not score much more in the rematch on the road.
Prediction ATS: Seattle
The Cowboys didn’t lose on the road in 2014, but the Packers were unbeaten at home. Dallas came dangerously close to getting upset in the first round, coming back from a 13-point, second half deficit. It won’t be as easy for the Cowboys to keep up with the Packers, who sport the NFL’s best offense. Only New England has been able to hold Green Bay to fewer than 30 points at home, and Dallas might not be up to the challenge, ranking 26th in opposing pass defense.
Prediction ATS: Green Bay
No team has been better against the spread than the Colts, who have covered 11 betting lines with just five losses. However, the team hasn’t been able to cover the spread in a loss. The Broncos are the likely winner on Sunday against a team that has struggled against playoff-caliber teams. Indianapolis lost by a touchdown at Denver in Week 1, and they were defeated by New England and Dallas by a combined 57 points. Peyton Manning could have a big day against a team that’s allowed at least 30 points in all five of their losses.
Prediction ATS: Denver
Season Record: 127-128-4