Not only are underdogs continuing to have success against the spread, but they are winning outright as well. Four favorites lost straight up in Week 7, and the number could be the same in Week 8.
Most of the games on the upcoming schedule are expected to be competitive, considering no team is favored by more than 6.5 points. More than half the games feature a point spread of a field goal or less.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 8, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) at Tennessee Titans
The betting line indicates that the Titans are just a half-point better than the Jaguars on a neutral field, but the reality is that the gap between Tennessee and Jacksonville is much greater. Blake Bortles looks like he shouldn’t be a starting quarterback in the NFL, and the Titans don’t have a bad defense. Between Tennessee’s elite rushing attack and Jacksonville inability to move the ball in the ground, the Titans offer their division rivals a difficult matchup.
Prediction ATS: Tennessee
Washington Redskins (+3) at Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati’s 3-4 record is a product of their difficult schedule. All of their losses have come against first-place teams, and the Bengals are still a legitimate playoff contender. The Redskins are among the NFL’s most unpredictable teams, but they are dealing with a few injuries that will make it difficult for them to beat the Bengals in London. Cornerback Josh Norman might miss the game with a concussion, meaning A.J. Green and Cincinnati’s offense could put up a lot of points.
Prediction ATS: Cincinnati
Green Bay Packers (+3) at Atlanta Falcons
Just because the Packers had a big win over the Bears, that doesn’t mean all of their problems are solved. They’ll have a much more difficult time when facing Matt Ryan instead of Matt Barkley, and Green Bay’s questions at running back could be an issue against an above-average run defense.
Prediction ATS: Atlanta
Detroit Lions (+2.5) at Houston Texans
It’d be easy to pick against the Texans after Monday night’s brutal performance, but Houston should bounce back against Detroit. The Texans are a much better team at home, where they’ve gone 4-0 even without Brock Osweiler putting up big numbers. Matthew Stafford has been as good as any quarterback not named Tom Brady, but he might come back to earth a bit on Sunday.
Prediction ATS: Houston
Seattle Seahawks (-2.5) at New Orleans Saints
As good as the Saints’ offense has been this season, they continue to lose because of a historically bad defense. New Orleans will almost certainly give up 30-plus points on Sunday, and the only question is whether or not their offense can keep up. The Saints have given up at least 27 points in all but one game, and Seattle has been able to take advantage of poor defenses. But New Orleans’ offense was stifled against the Giants and Chiefs, who rank in the top 10 in points allowed. The same could happen against the Seahawks, who are tied for first by allowing just 14 points per game.
Prediction ATS: Seattle
New England Patriots (-6.5) at Buffalo Bills
Eventually, the Patriots will fail to cover a point spread and possibly lose outright, but it doesn’t make much sense to bet against New England until that happens. They are clearly the NFL’s best team, and they continue to beat their opponents with ease. The Patriots will come ready to play against the Bills, who beat them and Jacoby Brissett in Week 4. New England is 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 visits to Buffalo.
Prediction ATS: New England
New York Jets (-5.5) at Cleveland Browns
With Kevin Hogan likely starting at quarterback for the Browns, the Jets have jumped up to 5.5-point favorites. Cleveland is still looking for their first win, but New York shouldn’t be favored by close to a touchdown on the road against anyone. Despite last week’s win against the Ravens, the Jets still have real problems in the secondary and at quarterback. If Hogan can have a decent start against anyone, it might come against New York.
Prediction ATS: Cleveland
Oakland Raiders (+1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Raiders won as one-point road underdogs last week, and the same should happen against the Buccaneers. Oakland seems to thrive on the road against subpar teams, going undefeated in their visits to New Orleans, Tennessee, Baltimore and Jacksonville. Tampa Bay has given up 64 total points in their two home games, and Derek Carr should help the Raiders score three or four touchdowns.
Prediction ATS: Oakland
Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) at Indianapolis Colts
The Chiefs are 4-0 when scoring more than 14 points this season, and they should have one of their best offensive games of the season when playing the Colts. Indianapolis hasn’t allowed fewer than 22 points in any game, and Andrew Luck won’t be able to defeat Kansas City by himself. The Chiefs are on a 14-game winning streak as favorites, and they are 6-0 against the spread in their last six games as road favorites.
Prediction ATS: Kansas City
San Diego Chargers (+5.5) at Denver Broncos
The Chargers have already beaten the Broncos once, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see them leave Denver with another win. San Diego has nearly been victorious in all four of their losses, and they should be in Sunday’s game for most of the way. The Chargers have scored at least 21 points in every game, and Trevor Siemian will be forced to make a few plays for Denver to cover the 5.5-point spread.
Prediction ATS: San Diego
Arizona Cardinals (+3) at Carolina Panthers
These aren’t the same teams that met in last season’s NFC Championship Game. The Panthers beat the Cardinals 49-15 in January, but they are 1-5 this season and unlikely to make the playoffs. Arizona is still among the NFC’s best teams, and they usually take care of subpar teams, going 8-1 in their last nine games against teams with losing records. Opponents have had a lot of success throwing the ball against Carolina, and Carson Palmer should be in for a bounce-back performance after last week’s tie with Seattle.
Prediction ATS: Arizona
Philadelphia Eagles (+4.5) at Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is the best team in the NFC East, and they could start creating even more distance between themselves and the rest of the division on Sunday. With the NFL’s best offensive line, the Cowboys pose a difficult matchup for the Eagles. Philadelphia’s defensive front won’t have as much success as they usually do, leaving the secondary vulnerable against Dak Prescott and a returning Dez Bryant. With the league’s top running back taking on a team that ranks 24th in yards per carry allowed, Dallas could score a lot of points on Sunday night.
Prediction ATS: Dallas
Minnesota Vikings (-6) at Chicago Bears
The return of Jay Cutler improves Chicago’s chances of winning, but the quarterback might have picked the wrong week to come back. Ranking first in total defense with one of the NFL’s top pass rushes, the Vikings should make things very difficult for Cutler. The Bears haven’t had any type of home-field advantage since the start of last season, and they could be in for another double-digit loss.
Prediction ATS: Minnesota
Season Record: 53-52-2