If you’ve watched "Game of Thrones," you’ve probably come to realize that the show and real life share a common hard truth: People die, and you don’t always know when to expect it. And, like many a pondering soul, you may also wonder when that judgment day will come. Now, students at the Technische Universität in Munich have developed an application that may help you answer that question (at least as far as Jon Snow and company are involved).
The students reportedly developed a computer algorithm in a programming course that mines the internet — the place where people spend extensive time stewing over how tall Tyrion Lannister is or whether he will die an untimely death — and recycles that information in order to predict who will get the axe (or sword) next.
“We tested 24 characteristics — for example, how many relatives of the character are already dead," Tatyana Goldberg, one of roughly 40 researchers who worked on the project, said. "It turned out: If the mother is already dead, this will increase the likelihood that the character itself dies, too."
Other risk factors for the characters stood out as well. Sorry, male and millennial characters, George R.R. Martin and HBO writers apparently like to kill off men and those between ages 20 to 40.
The students’ algorithm has an accuracy rate of about 74 percent for all recent deaths on the show and has some predictions for characters who might meet the grim reaper in Season 6, which premieres Sunday. The young, new occupant of the iron throne, Tommen Baratheon, has a 97 percent mortality rate, according to the researchers. Joining Tommen at the top of the list is Lady Daenerys Targaryen, the mother of dragons, who has a 95 percent mortality rate. Jon Snow, who was stabbed multiple times at the end of the fifth season and left for dead, has just an 11 percent mortality rate according to the algorithm.