With just one day until Election Day, the ultimate push for the presidential nominees is on. Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton are making their final pitches to the last few undecided voters in the swing states that could end up deciding the next president.
Trump is scheduled to travel up and down the East Coast Monday before a turn, making rally stops in — deep breath — Sarasota, Florida; Raleigh, North Carolina; Scranton, Pennsylvania; Manchester, New Hampshire; and Grand Rapids, Michigan. Clinton, meanwhile, is expected to make pit stops in Oakland, Pennsylvania; Allendale, Michigan; Philadelphia; and Raleigh.
Trump's first stop in Florida is indicative of the fact that he likely needs to win the Sunshine State to have any real path to the 270 electoral votes required to win the presidency. The race in the state appears to be close. The Real Clear Politics average of polls has Clinton up by 1 point in a four-way race including Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. The most recent survey from Quinnipiac University, released Monday, had Clinton up by 1 percentage point, while a CBS News/YouGov poll before that had the race tied.
The polls-only election forecast from data-driven website FiveThirtyEight effectively had Florida as a toss-up.
Trump also likely needs a win in Ohio, which is looking better for the GOP nominee than Florida. The Real Clear Politics average of polls has him up 3.5 percentage points. The most recent Emerson College survey had Trump leading by a whopping 7 percentage points in the Buckeye State, although a recent CBS News/YouGov poll had him up by just 1 point.
As of Monday morning, FiveThirtyEight gave Trump a roughly 67 percent chance of winning Ohio.
Unlike Ohio, North Carolina appears to still be a toss-up. The Real Clear Politics average of polls has Trump up by 1.7 percentage points over Clinton, but the most recent survey from Quinnipiac University gave Clinton a 2-point edge. FiveThirtyEight gave Clinton a 50.4 percent chance of winning the Tar Heel State, essentially pegging the state as a coin flip.
Both candidates have planned stops in Michigan during the final hours of the race, which could show that both see it as a key battleground state. However, every recent poll has found Clinton leads in the state. The Real Clear Politics average of polls has the former first lady up by 4.7 percentage points. FiveThirtyEight, meanwhile, remained relatively bullish Monday on Trump's chances in the state, giving him a 23 percent chance of winning.
Overall, Clinton is the favorite to win the presidency on Election Day, although it remains a relatively close race. The polls-only forecast from FiveThirtyEight gave Clinton a 65 percent chance of emerging victorious Tuesday.