Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump may have been wrong when he famously declared he could shoot someone in the middle of Fifth Avenue and his supporters wouldn’t care.
Trump’s poll numbers are dropping precipitously with just 19 days left until Election Day, with the RealClear Politics average of the latest major polls indicating Democrat Hillary Clinton has a more than 6-point lead nationally. Even the Investor’s Business Daily daily tracking poll, which gave Trump a 1-point lead Wednesday, gave Clinton a 2-point lead Thursday, a day after the two candidates met for their final debate.
Here are five reasons Trump likely will lose the election:
- Trump's controversies have caught up with him.
- The Trump campaign has not invested in data.
- Libertarian Gary Johnson offers a potential alternative.
- Low support among women, Latinos.
- Poor showings in debates.
Trump’s debate appearances showed him to be unprepared, uninformed, rude and unable to keep his temper in check.
His campaign has been rocked by controversy from the get-go. He kicked off his run by accusing Mexican immigrants of being rapists and drug dealers. He went on to call for a ban on allowing Muslims into the United States. He has repeatedly made disparaging remarks about women, suggested punishing women who have abortions, questioned the integrity of a Mexican-American judge presiding over lawsuits against Trump University, threatened to jail Clinton if he is elected and shown he has little understanding of the Constitution. Trump also questioned U.S. intelligence assessments that Russian hackers are responsible for leaking emails from the Democratic National Committee and Clinton campaign chief John Podesta aimed at influencing the outcome of the election.
Trump’s campaign has been a revolving door and has not set up the ground operation needed to get the vote out, opting to depend on regular Republicans who are wondering what they have gotten themselves into. His controversial positions have sent some Republican leaders scurrying for cover. House Speaker Paul Ryan said he would no longer campaign for or defend Trump after an “Access Hollywood” tape surfaced on which Trump bragged about forcing himself on women, saying he could get away with it because of his celebrity and wealth. Since the tape surfaced, about a dozen women have stepped forward to say Trump forced himself on them.
Trump and Clinton aren’t the only candidates in the presidential race. Johnson has been trying to represent himself as a logical alternative to Trump. He was a successful GOP governor but has proved himself far from adept on foreign affairs having asked, “What is Aleppo?” when asked about the situation in the besieged Syrian city.
Trump’s latest controversy bubbled up during his final debate against Clinton Wednesday when he cast doubt on whether he would accept the results of the election if he loses. Clinton called his statement that he would keep everyone in suspense “horrific.”