Patrick Mahomes Chiefs Rams
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs passes against the Los Angeles Rams in the second quarter of the game at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on November 19, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images

The 2018 NFL playoff picture is starting to become pretty clear as the season enters Week 12. While no one has clinched a postseason berth just yet, several teams are all but assured to be playing in January.

With their historic win over the Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) Monday night, the Los Angeles Rams (10-1) have a magic number of one to win the NFC West. All Kansas City has to do is defeat the Oakland Raiders (2-8) twice to ensure themselves an 11-win season, at worst. The New England Patriots (7-3) are cruising toward a 10th straight AFC East title. The Super Bowl favorite New Orleans Saints (9-1) have a three-game lead in the NFC South.

The Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2-1) are starting to run away with the AFC North. They’ve got a 2.5-game lead over both the Baltimore Ravens (5-5) and Cincinnati Bengals (5-5).

It would be surprising to see the Chicago Bears (7-3) miss the playoffs at this point. They’ve got a 1.5-game lead in the NFC North over the Minnesota Vikings (5-4-1), whom they just defeated pretty handily. It might only take nine wins to clinch the second NFC wild-card spot.

The Washington Redskins (6-4) are the only first-place team that doesn’t have more than a one-game lead in the division. They aren’t even favored to win the NFC East because of the season-ending injury to Alex Smith. The Dallas Cowboys (5-5) are given the best odds to represent the NFC East in the playoffs after winning two straight games.

The Houston Texans (7-3) are two games in front of both the Indianapolis Colts (5-5) and Tennessee Titans (5-5) for the AFC South lead. Houston hosts Tenneesse Monday night in a key divisional matchup.

The Los Angeles Chargers (7-3) and Carolina Panthers (6-4) seem like pretty good bets to make the playoffs as wild-card teams.

No NFL playoff team won fewer than nine games last year. Every division winner went 10-6 or better.