With fewer than 20 days left until Election Day, the presidential nominees, Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, have begun to focus intensely on the battleground states that will likely decide who wins Nov. 8. There is perhaps no more important state than Florida, which accounts for a massive 29 electoral votes.
A win in Florida would almost assuredly seal a Clinton victory, since polling indicates the most realistic paths to the White House for Trump include the Sunshine State. The Clinton campaign dispatched the big guns to Florida Thursday in an effort to gin up excitement in the state. President Barack Obama delivered a speech full of seething condemnation for the GOP nominee.
"Donald Trump has nothing to offer but anger and grievance and blame. And so his closing argument asks what do you have to lose? Well, I'm here to tell you: everything," Obama said in Miami Gardens, Florida.
Trump, meanwhile, has made a number of stops in the state and is slated to return on Monday and host a rally in Tampa.
Clinton holds an edge in Florida according to most recent polls, but the race remains relatively close. The Real Clear Politics average of polls gave her a 3.8 percentage point lead Friday. The most recent surveys from Quinnipiac University and Public Policy Polling (PPP) both had Clinton up 4 points. The PPP survey also noted, importantly, the Trump's favorability had dropped amid sexual harassment allegations while Clinton's had improved slightly.
A survey last week from the Washington Post/SurveyMonkey did show, however, Trump was actually up 2 points in Florida. The polls-only forecast from data-driven website FiveThirtyEight, which accounts for polls' historic accuracy and weights for a number of factors, gave Clinton a 74.5 percent chance of winning the state Friday.
A good portion of Clinton's lead in the state could be because she's dominating Trump in Florida's largest county, Miami-Dade. A new poll this week showed she was up by 30 points in the county, 58 percent to 28 percent.