Jens Nordvig and his team at Nomura International Securities have shorted EUR/SEK [euro/Swedish krona] in their model portfolio.

They gave two reasons.

One, the European debt crisis is “back on the markets’ radar,” as evidence by EUR/USD’s decline last Friday on a report (later denied) that Greece was considering leaving the euro and the further decline on Monday after S&P downgraded Greece.

Given the now-bearish outlook on the euro, traders are looking for ways to short it. 

Shorting it against a European currency is attractive because it’s close to a pure-play on the euro’s weakness and less likely to be derailed by an exogenous factor.

Two, the market has only priced in three more interest rate hikes for the Riksbank [the central bank of Sweden] in 2011. 

While that view is in line with Nordvig’s expectations, the “the risks remain on the upside and hence there is now some room for rates pricing to re-price some hikes as economic data remain strong and inflation expectations continue to edge higher.”

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