After a few consecutive weeks with mostly small betting lines, Week 14 has arrived with the return of a few heavy favorites. The Denver Broncos and New England Patriots, who have the top two records in the AFC, are both giving their opponents more than 11 points.
For the most part, the underdogs struggled in Week 13. Only four favorites ended up losing outright.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 14.
Houston Texans (-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars
It’s hard to imagine why the Texans would be favored in any game, especially when they’re on the road. They have the worst record in the NFL, and only the Bears are worse against the spread. The Jaguars have played much better of late, winning three of their last four. Jacksonville already beat Houston on the road and there’s no reason why they shouldn’t be able to do the same at home.
Prediction ATS: Jacksonville
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at Washington Redskins
Since their hot start, the Chiefs have been exposed, dropping three straight. On their road to 9-0, the team beat up on mostly inferior competition. In Week 14, Kansas City should get back to their winning ways because they’ll be facing another team that’s under .500. The Redskins have lost four in a row, and haven’t beaten a team that currently has a winning record.
Prediction ATS: Kansas City
Minnesota Vikings (+6.5) at Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens haven’t played like a team that won the Super Bowl a year ago, but they remain unbeatable at home. They are 6-0 in Baltimore, and only failed to cover the spread on Thanksgiving when they beat the Steelers. The Ravens sport one of the best run defenses in football, and the Vikings have trouble scoring points when Adrian Peterson struggles.
Prediction ATS: Baltimore
Cleveland Browns (+11.5) at New England Patriots
Now that Tom Brady’s weapons are healthy, the Patriots have one of the best offenses in football. The Browns have just one victory since Week Five, and they’ll be playing in a stadium that has seen all visitors come out on the losing end in 2013. In four of their last six losses, the Browns have been defeated by at least 14 points. This game could be decided fairly early.
Prediction ATS: New England
Oakland Raiders (+3) at New York Jets
The Texans have lost 10 straight, but it might not be a stretch to say the Jets are currently playing worse than any team in the league. Geno Smith will get the start, despite being benched last week, and leading an offense that hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 11. The Jets have the worst passing attack in the NFL, and the Raiders are very good against the run. It won’t be a surprise if the Jets fail to get in the end zone, once again.
Prediction ATS: Oakland
Indianapolis Colts (+6) at Cincinnati Bengals
No team has covered the point spread in every home game, except for the Bengals. The Colts have some big wins on their schedule, but they’ve looked especially bad in their losses. Three of their four defeats have come by double digits, including a 30-point and 29-point loss in November. Cincinnati could have a big win on Sunday.
Prediction ATS: Cincinnati
Detroit Lions (+2.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles have won four straight behind Nick Foles, who has thrown 19 touchdowns and no interceptions. The Lions have an explosive offense, but they have five losses because of their high turnover rate. If Philadelphia has two or three more takeaways then Detroit, they should be able to get the win at home.
Prediction ATS: Philadelphia
Miami Dolphins (+3) at Pittsburgh Steelers
A three-point betting line indicates that the two teams are even when playing on a neutral field. At this point in the season, though, the Steelers are a better team. The Dolphins took advantage of an embarrassingly poor Jets offense last week, and they haven’t been able to string together two straight wins since September. Ben Roethlisberger has completed eight touchdown passes and no interceptions in his last three games, and he should lead Pittsburgh to their fourth win in five games.
Prediction ATS: Pittsburgh
Buffalo Bills (+2.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Before their loss to the Panthers last week, the Buccaneers have played very well over the last month, winning three straight and losing to Seattle in overtime. The Bills’ only win in the past six weeks has come at home against the Jets. The Buccaneers forced Cam Newton, Matt Ryan and Matthew Stafford into throwing eight picks in the last three games. Rookie quarterback EJ Manuel could have a rough day.
Prediction ATS: Tampa Bay
Tennessee Titans (+12) at Denver Broncos
The Titans are a longshot to beat the Broncos, and only have two wins since September. However, they’ve rarely been blown out, with six of their seven defeats coming by single digits. Denver hasn’t won by at least 10 points since Oct. 27, and Tennessee has covered all but one point spread on the road.
Prediction ATS: Tennessee
St. Louis Rams (+6.5) at Arizona Cardinals
The Rams beat the Cardinals in the season opener, but that was when they had a healthy Sam Bradford. Since then, Arizona has been terrific against sub-.500 teams, going 4-0 in contests with clubs that have losing records. St. Louis has been up and down and they could have trouble keeping up with the Cardinals if they can’t force Carson Palmer into throwing a few interceptions.
Prediction ATS: Arizona
New York Giants (+3) at San Diego Chargers
The Giants have won five of six, but they’ve struggled against good quarterbacks. Philip Rivers is in the midst of one of the best seasons of his career, ranking sixth in overall passer rating. He could have a big performance on Sunday.
Prediction ATS: San Diego
Seattle Seahawks (+2.5) at San Francisco 49ers
The Seahawks beat the 49ers by 26 points in their first matchup this year. Seattle may be much better at home, but they’ve had some big wins on the road. Colin Kaepernick has struggled to make big plays through the air and that will only continue against the league’s No.1 pass defense. The Seahawks are the NFL’s most complete team, and it’s hard not to pick them when they’re getting points.
Prediction ATS: Seattle
Dallas Cowboys (-1) at Chicago Bears
The Bears have lost three of their last four games, mostly because of their poor rush defense. The Cowboys aren’t great in that area, but they’ve improved of late, surpassing the 100-yard mark in the last two contests. Jay Cutler’s status is uncertain, and the team hasn’t scored in the 30’s in six games. Facing Tony Romo and the Dallas offense, Chicago may not have enough offensive firepower to keep up.
Prediction ATS: Dallas
Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (No betting odds available)