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How far and fast will the yuan appreciate?

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The excitement surrounding the new Chinese yuan currency regime has been not been reflected in the non-deliverable forward (NDF) market. The 1-year CNY NDF is only pricing in a 2 percent move in the next 12 months. This is conservative compared to the pricing of the 1-year NDFs in July 2005 when China altered their currency policy from a de-facto peg of 8.2765 yuan per dollar to a managed float.

U.S. pushes G20 growth, but Europe cautious

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The top White House economic advisor said on Thursday world leaders must keep the tentative global recovery on track as Europe headed into this weekend's G20 summit defending plans for heavy cost-cutting.
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Google and YouTube defeat Viacom in copyright lawsuit

Google Inc won a landmark victory over media companies as a Manhattan federal judge threw out Viacom Inc's $1 billion lawsuit accusing the Internet company of allowing copyrighted videos on its YouTube service without permission.
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Dollar up vs euro; Greek debt concern back in focus

The dollar and yen rose against the euro on Thursday as a less optimistic outlook on growth from the U.S. Federal Reserve dented investors' appetite for risk, with the euro further hampered by Greek debt markets. Concerns over Greece were hanging over the euro zone, as the cost of protecting its government debt against default hit a record high.
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Lawmakers renew focus on China after yuan stalls

Senators said on Wednesday they were unmoved by China's steps to partly free the yuan and vowed to push forward legislation to punish a Chinese currency misalignment they say distorts trade and steals jobs.
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Oil falls below $76 on high U.S. inventories

Oil prices fell for a third day to beneath $76 a barrel on Thursday after a jump in U.S. crude oil inventories outweighed the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates near zero. A dip in European shares on Thursday also dampened sentiment and reinforced the correlation between oil and equities. EU
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Gold flat to firmer after Fed's low-rate vow

Gold was flat to slightly firmer on Thursday as the Federal Reserve's vow to keep interest rates low and uncertainty over the global economy underpinned investor appetite. On Wednesday, weak U.S. housing data helped send gold to a low below $1,230 an ounce, but its recovery since then on bargain-hunting eased bearish views that gold cannot be an exception when a sell-off hits other commodities and stocks.
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Stock futures dip on Fed comments

Stock index futures slipped on Thursday as the Federal Reserve underscored worries the recovery was not as robust as hoped and ahead of weekly initial jobless claims data.
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Europe digs in on budget austerity ahead of G20

European policymakers defended budget austerity plans on Thursday ahead of a G20 summit set to pit calls for fiscal restraint against warnings that heavy cost-cutting threatens recovery.
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Dollar pares losses as Fed outlook dents growth hopes

The dollar pared losses and the yen rose on Thursday, as a less optimistic outlook on growth from the U.S. Federal Reserve dented investors' appetite for risk, while the euro was hampered by Greek debt markets.
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Oil falls to $76 on high U.S. stocks

Oil prices fell for a third day to around $76 a barrel on Thursday after a jump in U.S. crude oil inventories outweighed the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates near zero.
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Gold broadly steady, seen picking up steam

Gold was broadly steady on Thursday, weighed slightly by traditional currency fundamentals as the dollar rose, but expectations for low interest rates and wider market jitters were keeping the metal's uptrend intact.
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Dollar pares losses; Fed outlook dents risk

The dollar pared losses and the yen rose on Thursday, as the Federal Reserve's less optimistic outlook for growth dented risk sentiment, while the euro was hampered by Greek debt markets.
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Sleep-deprived Apple fans brave rain for iPhone 4

Hundreds of fans flocked to stores in Tokyo to be the first buyers of Apple's iPhone 4 and some lined up in San Francisco as the red-hot smartphone rolls out on Thursday in five of the world's six largest economies.
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Yuan ends higher as China c.bank again steps aside

The yuan CNY=CFXS closed higher against the dollar on Thursday after moving in a wide range of more than 150 pips, as the central bank returned to a more laissez faire stance seen early in the week and let the market have a bigger say in traded values.
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A Bankrupt BP - Worse For The Financial World Than Lehman Brothers?

The BP crisis in the Gulf of Mexico has rightfully been analysed (mostly) from the ecological perspective. People's lives and livelihoods are in grave danger. But that focus has equally masked something very serious from a financial perspective, in my opinion, that could lead to an acceleration of the crisis brought about by the Lehman implosion.
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Oil edges up in Asia on equity gains

Global oil prices rose marginally in Asian trade Thursday mainly after positive trends in local equity markets. Light sweet crude for August delivery was seen trading at $76.48 a barrel at 11.30 a.m Singapore time while Brent crude was at $ 76.41 a barrel in London.
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Gold gains thrust on Fed rate decision

Gold steadied in Asian trade Thursday after a fall of 0.5 percent overnight on a rising dollar. Gold for immediate delivery was seen trading at $1235.25 an ounce at 11.30 a.m Singapore time while US gold futures for August delivery was at $1236.01 an ounce.
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Fed gloom hits stocks

Global equities and crude prices eased on Thursday on concerns over economic growth after the U.S. Federal Reserve's pessimistic outlook, though the dollar recovered from the previous session's losses.

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