Most Favoured Nation
Indo-Pak Trade: Most Favoured Nation Reuters

A senior Indian government source accused Pakistan on Friday of backtracking its announcement on granting the trading status of Most Favoured Nation to the country, but Islamabad immediately denied the allegation. Official sources from the neighboring country clarified that Pakistan is not backtracking.

The disagreement exposed potential hurdles in attempts to improve relations between the two traditionally hostile neighbors.

Pakistan announced it was upgrading India to a most favored nation (MFN) on Wednesday, a move that would help normalise commercial ties between the two nuclear-armed rivals by ending heavy restrictions on what India is allowed to export across the border. Wednesday's announcement was trumpeted on both sides as a milestone in improving relations shattered by attacks by Pakistan-based militants in Mumbai in 2008. Formal peace talks, known as the composite dialogue, resumed in February.

Speaking on condition of anonymity, the source told Reuters business and political lobbies in Pakistan seemed to have forced the trade move to be put on hold, leaving India to wait and watch as to when the process would resume.

From the initial announcement of an unconditional grant of an MFN, there appears to be a clear backtrack, the source said. However, the statement was dismissed by Islamabad.

Pakistan is not backtracking, Foreign Office spokeswoman Tehmina Janjua told Reuters. Pakistan clearly stated that our cabinet gave approval to move forward on MFN status in principle. Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani has clarified that Pakistan has not granted the MFN status to India but has asked the Commerce Ministry to move forward on the issue in bilateral negotiations. He added that it could be approved or withheld depending on the interest of the nation.

India's Foreign Ministry spokesman could not immediately be reached for comment.

Trade has long been tied to political issues between the neighbors, who have fought three wars since independence from Britain in 1947. Lasting peace between the two countries is seen as key to stability in the South Asian region and to help troubled transition in Afghanistan as NATO-led forces plan their military withdrawal from that country.

INDIA WELCOMED ANNOUNCEMENT

Wednesday's announcement had been cheered by Indian policymakers and commentators. Rajiv Kumar, the director-general of the influential business lobby group FICCI, called it truly momentous news in a newspaper column on Friday morning.

But what appeared to be confusing statements from Pakistani officials after Wednesday's cabinet meeting aroused the suspicions of the Indian media, which bristle at any suggestion of duplicity on the part of the country's arch rival.

Although most editorial comment was positive, The Times of India accused the Pakistan government of a flip flop.

Islamabad is under pressure from domestic business groups such as the pharmaceutical industry over liberalising trade with India, although political lobbying is the greater concern, the Indian source said.

And in the buildup to the announcement, some Pakistani industries had expressed alarm at the prospect of being flooded with cheap Indian goods.

Riaz Hussain, secretary general of the Pakistan Pharmaceutical Manufacturing Association, feared that, if allowed, India would dump low-priced drugs on the market.

If they want to give India MFN status, fine, but all the pharmaceutical finished goods should be put on the negative list, Hussain said, referring to items which would not be tradable. We have taken up that at all levels. We produce products as per the international standards. Now, why is there a need to allow India to export to us? They don't allow us, as they have put up trade barriers, he added.

Pakistan's Trade Secretary Zafar Mehmood reiterated the deal was still on.

The cabinet has given approval for the complete normalisation of the trade relationship, and MFN is fully included in it and it is part of it, Pakistan's Trade Secretary Zafar Mehmood said in comments broadcast on state television. Rather I will say that it is MFN plus that they have given approval for the entire road map, he added.

India and Pakistan are together home to 1.4 billion people, but bilateral trade flows are paltry - a legacy of mistrust. The hope is that an increase in trade will feed into wider trust between the two countries and help them resolve major flashpoints, like the disputed Kashmir region, although a solution to this problem has proved intractable for decades.

The two sides have also pledged to liberalise restrictions on business visas, curb non-tariff barriers and bolster trade on their land border. Exporters are now forced to route many goods via third parties such as Dubai, slowing delivery times and upping costs.

Less than one percent of India's merchandise exports are sold to Pakistan, in terms of dollar value, but in September a joint statement pledged to double bilateral trade flows within three years to about $6 billion.