On Tuesday night, the 14 teams in the 2013 NBA Draft Lottery will finally learn their fate. The order of the first round will be determined before Game Two of the Western Conference Finals at 8:30 p.m. ET. ESPN will have the TV coverage, and viewers can watch a free live stream online at watchespn.com.
The first three picks of the draft are chosen by the lottery system, which gives the worst teams the best chance of ending up in the top three. After those picks have been determined, the rest of the draft will be ordered according to win-loss records.
After trading Dwight Howard to the Los Angeles Lakers in the summer, the Orlando Magic finished the regular season with the league’s worst record. At 20-62, they have the best odds of landing the No.1 pick. The Magic have a 25 percent chance of selecting first, but they are guaranteed to get no worse than the fourth pick.
Nerlens Noel has been predicted by many experts to be the first college basketball player chose on June 27. Ben McLemore from Kansas is also in the running at No.1. Orlando might be more inclined to take Noel, in hopes of replacing the franchise center they lost in the offseason.
Georgetown’s Otto Porter, Indiana’s Victor Oladipo and UNLV’s Anthony Bennett are also candidates to be taken near the top of the draft. Oladipo is the only one of those players to have been in college for more than two years.
Following the Magic are the Charlotte Bobcats and Cleveland Cavaliers. They won 21 and 24 games, respectively, this past year. Despite reaching the playoffs just once in their nine-year history, the Bobcats, who are looking to change their name to the Hornets, have never had the top pick. Cleveland took Kyrie Irving first overall in 2011, one season after LeBron James left for the Miami Heat.
Formerly the New Orleans Hornets, the Pelicans have an 8.8 percent chance of getting the first pick for a second consecutive year. Since the first lottery was instituted in 1985, only one team has been awarded the No.1 selection in back-to-back seasons. In 1992 and 1993, the Magic took Shaquille O’Neal and Chris Webber. Webber, however, was traded to the Golden State Warriors and never played for Orlando.
Even after leading the Western Conference with a 60-22 record, the Oklahoma City Thunder are the lone playoff team that is in the lottery. The pick is protected by the Toronto Raptors, meaning they will get the selection if it ends up in the top three. That isn’t likely, though, since there is only a .07 percent chance that Toronto will win the lottery.
The Raptors are one of four teams that have less than a one percent chance of getting the top spot in the first round. The Philadelphia 76ers, Dallas Mavericks and Utah Jazz are all longshots to end the night with the first pick. Each of those teams made the playoffs in 2012.
Below are the odds that each team has of winning the 2013 NBA Draft Lottery. The rest of the first round and entire second-round draft order has already been determined.
Orlando Magic 25%
Charlotte Bobcats 19.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers 15.6%
Phoenix Suns 11.9%
New Orleans Pelicans 8.8%
Sacramento Kings 6.3%
Detroit Pistons 3.6%
Washington Wizards 3.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves 1.7%
Portland Trail Blazers 1.1%
Philadelphia 76ers 0.8%
Toronto Raptors 0.7%
Dallas Mavericks 0.6%
Utah Jazz 0.5%