A few of the worst teams in the NFL have actually been named as favorites in Week 15. The Falcons and Bills, who have a total of seven wins, are expected to win their games, while the four-win Browns are in a pick’em against a playoff contender.
According to the betting lines at most Las Vegas casinos, two teams are favored by double-digits.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 15.
San Diego Chargers (+10.5) at Denver Broncos
No team has come close to beating the Broncos in Denver. At home, the club has won by more than 20 points per game, and all of those victories have come by double-digits. Peyton Manning has thrown 25 touchdowns and four interceptions in front of Denver’s fans, and he should have a big performance to open Week 15.
Prediction ATS: Denver
Washington Redskins (+7) at Atlanta Falcons
Robert Griffin III has been benched for the remainder of the 2013 NFL season, but that doesn’t mean the Redskins will be much worse. The quarterback has struggled this year, and Kirk Cousins was good when given a chance in 2012. The Falcons’ only win in two months came in overtime, and they shouldn’t be favored by a touchdown over anybody.
Prediction ATS: Washington
San Francisco 49ers (-5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
If there were any questions about how good the 49ers are, they were answered with San Francisco’s win against the Seahawks in Week 14. They have played just as well on the road as they have at home, and the 49ers have ben unbeatable against losing teams with a 6-0 record. Tampa Bay is much improved from the beginning of the year, having won four of five, but none of those games have come against elite competition.
Prediction ATS: San Francisco
Arizona Cardinals (-3) at Tennessee Titans
The Cardinals have proven that they are among the better teams in the NFC, going 8-5 and fighting for the final wild card spot. Since their loss in the opener to St. Louis, the Cardinals are 5-0 against teams that are under .500. They have one loss since Week Seven, while the Titans have just two wins since September. The Titans are at home, but they have just one victory against the point spread in their home stadium.
Prediction ATS: Arizona
New Orleans Saints (-5.5) at St. Louis Rams
The Saints are probably the second-best team in the NFC, but they are a completely different team on the road. No team has a worse record against the spread away from home than New Orleans. On the road, they are 3-3, with those victories coming by two, four and eight points. The Rams have been very inconsistent, and they could be in for a bounce-back performance after two straight losses.
Prediction ATS: St. Louis
Seattle Seahawks (-7) at New York Giants
The Giants were eliminated from playoff contention in Week 14 and don’t have anything to play for the rest of the season. The Seahawks are in the postseason, but still looking to secure home-field advantage. All of New York’s wins have come against teams with mediocre quarterbacks. Against the best secondary in the league, it might be surprising if Eli Manning doesn’t throw a few interceptions.
Prediction ATS: Seattle
Chicago Bears (PK) at Cleveland Browns
Jay Cutler is likely to make his return, which might not be the best thing for the Bears offense. The Bears are behind only Denver in total points scored, on the strength of Josh McCown’s third-ranked passer rating. With Cutler at the helm, the offense hasn’t been nearly as effective. The Browns have four straight losses, but they’ve come closer in recent weeks, losing on a last second touchdown to the Patriots in their most recent defeat. Josh Gordon is in the middle of an historic stretch for a wide receiver, and the Bears defense will have trouble containing him.
Prediction ATS: Cleveland
Houston Texans (+5.5) at Indianapolis Colts
The Texans are the worst team in football. They’re tied for the worst record against the spread, and they’re lucky to have any wins at all, winning their only games on last second plays in the first two weeks of the season. The Colts may not be a Super Bowl contender like they appeared to be a few weeks ago, but at home, they’re more than a touchdown better than Houston.
Prediction ATS: Indianapolis
Buffalo Bills (-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is getting two points, but they should be favored in this game. They’re home and have won four of their last five, while Buffalo has just one victory since Oct. 20. The Bills are 1-5 against the spread on the road, and that record should only get worse on Sunday.
Prediction ATS: Jacksonville
New England Patriots (-2.5) at Miami Dolphins
The Patriots struggled in their first meeting with the Dolphins, but ended up winning by 10 points, even as Tom Brady threw for just 116 yards. The Dolphins have improved of late, but Brady should play much better this time around. It’s hard not to pick New England when they’re giving up less than a field goal.
Prediction ATS: New England
Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5) at Minnesota Vikings
Adrian Peterson plans to play on Sunday, but his ankle injury prevented him from practicing through Thursday. If the running back is hampered, the Vikings offensive attack will be much less effective. Even as Nick Foles threw his first interception last week, the Eagles still managed to win by 14 points. The Eagles have won five straight, and they’ve failed to cover just one point spread on the road.
Prediction ATS: Philadelphia
New York Jets (+11) at Carolina Panthers
After failing to score a touchdown in two straight weeks, the Jets scored a season-high 37 points against the Raiders. The Jets were able to score points off of Oakland turnovers and a strong running game. That won’t likely be the case against the Panthers, who sport the best rushing defense in the NFL and rank near the bottom of the league in giveaways.
Prediction ATS: Carolina
Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5) at Oakland Raiders
The Raiders have struggled, having lost five of their last six, including three defeats to teams with a record under .500. Matt McGloin is set to get the start, but Terrelle Pryor is also expected to get some snaps. With such an uncertain situation at quarterback, Oakland’s offense could have trouble scoring against a tough Chiefs defense.
Prediction ATS: Kansas City
Green Bay Packers (+7) at Dallas Cowboys
It’s a near certainty that Aaron Rodgers won’t play. Without the former MVP, the Packers offense has sputtered. If they’re going to have a breakout game, it would likely come against Dallas. However, they haven’t been able to so against the weaker defenses in the league, and Tony Romo and company could run away with this one.
Prediction ATS: Dallas
Cincinnati Bengals (-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers
At 9-4, the Bengals have proven to be among the best teams in all of football. The Steelers are an under .500 team that has struggled against top competition. However, every time it looks like Cincinnati could be a legitimate Super Bowl contender, they drop a game they are expected to win. The Steelers still have a veteran team with a quarterback that has played in three Super Bowls. If the Bengals give them an opening on Sunday, they will pull of the upset.
Prediction ATS: Cincinnati
Baltimore Ravens (+6) at Detroit Lions
The Ravens only have one win on the road this season. The Lions are very dangerous at home, especially with Calvin Johnson playing on turf. The wide receiver is averaging over 130 yards per game in Detroit, and he could have a big performance on Sunday. Ray Rice is in the midst of the worst season of his career, and he’ll have a real tough time against one of the best rush defenses in the NFL. If Baltimore has to rely on Joe Flacco to make big plays, they could be in trouble.
Prediction ATS: Detroit