Week 3 of the 2014 NFL season features a wide variety of betting odds, as two teams are favored to win by double-digits, but eight games are expected to be decided by a field goal or less. Four road teams have been named favorites, while two unbeatens have been named underdogs, according to the betting lines at Las Vegas casinos.
Last week, the favorites covered the point spread in seven of the 16 games. Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 3.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6) at Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons should have a bounce-back performance, following a 14-point loss in Cincinnati. Matt Ryan leads the No.1 passing offense in the NFL, and it’s not likely that he’ll have another three-interception game. The Buccaneers have one of the worst offenses in the league, and they won’t be able to keep up with their NFC South rivals.
Prediction ATS: Atlanta
San Diego Chargers (+2.5) at Buffalo Bills
The Chargers have been undervalued since the midway point of last year, going 7-1 against the spread, according to OddsShark, and covering the betting line in their last five games as road underdogs. The Bills might prove to be a competitive team in 2014, but they could be headed for their first loss of the season.
Prediction ATS: San Diego
Dallas Cowboys (PK) at St. Louis Rams
Both teams got their first wins of the season in Week 2. While the Rams squeaked out a win on the road, they don’t have the offensive-firepower to compete with the Cowboys.
Prediction ATS: Dallas
Washington Redskins (+6.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
With Kirk Cousins at the helm, the Redskins looked like a different team last week. The Eagles have scored the most points in the NFL, but getting off to their slow starts could hurt them. Philadelphia has one of the worst home-field advantages in the league, and Washington should be in contention for most of the way.
Prediction ATS: Washington
Houston Texans (-2) at New York Giants
Despite having a two-time Super Bowl winning quarterback and head coach, the Giants look like one of the worst teams in the NFL. New York's revamped offense was improved in Week 2, but they still managed to only score 14 points. The Texans are improved from a year ago, and they could be looking at a 3-0 start to the season.
Prediction ATS: Houston
Minnesota Vikings (+10) at New Orleans Saints
After two losses on the road, the Saints are finally back home, where they are a completely different team. New Orleans has covered the betting line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites. The Vikings’ Week 1 victory might have been a mirage, and they have very little offensive firepower with Adrian Peterson out of the fold.
Prediction ATS: New Orleans
Tennessee Titans (+7) at Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals are undefeated at home since the start of the year, and they have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games in Cincinnati. Until they lose at Paul Brown Stadium, picking the Bengals at home is one of the safest bets in football.
Prediction ATS; Cincinnati
Baltimore Ravens (-1.5) at Cleveland Browns
The Ravens have been dominant against the Browns in recent years, winning 11 of the last 12 head-to-head matchups. Cleveland did get a home win against Baltimore last season, but the Ravens are the superior team, and a win almost guarantees that they’ll cover the spread.
Prediction ATS: Baltimore
Green Bay Packers (+2) at Detroit Lions
The Packers have taken care of business against the Lions in the last three years, winning five of six matchups. Detroit can put up a lot of points at home, but Aaron Rodgers will be able to match Matthew Stafford in what could turn into a shootout.
Prediction ATS: Green Bay
Indianapolis Colts (-6.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars had a big first half in Week 1, but their last six quarters have proven that they remain the worst team in the NFL. Both teams are 0-2, but Indianapolis lost to teams with the best offense in their respective conferences. Jacksonville has allowed 75 points this year and Week 3 should be more of the same.
Prediction ATS: Indianapolis
Oakland Raiders (+14) at New England Patriots
It’s often smart to avoid favorites of two touchdowns or more, but the Patriots are an exception. They are coming off a 23 point win on the road, and the Raiders just lost by 16 points at home. With rookie Derek Carr at the helm, Oakland ranks 31st in total yards. This game could be over by halftime.
Prediction ATS: New England
San Francisco 49ers (-3) at Arizona Cardinals
Drew Stanton helped the Cardinals beat the Giants, but he’ll have a much tougher task against the 49ers. If Carson Palmer’s arm injury prevents him from playing, which it looks like it might, Arizona will have a difficult time scoring against one of the league’s best defenses.
Prediction ATS: San Francisco
Denver Broncos (+4.5) at Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks showed how well they match up against the Broncos in the Super Bowl. Seattle’s defense should give Peyton Manning and the Denver offense trouble, much like it did against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in the first game of the season. The oddsmakers account for Seattle’s home dominance when making the betting odds, but the Seahawks have still managed to cover the spread in 17 of their last 22 games at CenturyLink Field.
Prediction ATS: Seattle
Kansas City Chiefs (+4) at Miami Dolphins
The Chiefs were able to keep their game with the Broncos close, but they could have trouble in Miami. Without Jamaal Charles, Kansas City doesn’t have any dynamic playmakers.
Prediction ATS: Miami
Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) at Carolina Panthers
The Panthers continue to be treated like an average team by the oddsmakers, even though they’ve won 14 of their last 16 regular-season games. Carolina easily covered the first two betting lines, and they shouldn’t have a problem against a mediocre Steelers team.
Prediction ATS: Carolina
Chicago Bears (+2.5) at New York Jets
After taking an early lead against the Packers, the Jets were outscored by 24 points in Week 2. Geno Smith is still inconsistent at quarterback, and the Bears’ receivers should be able to take advantage of a weak New York secondary.
Prediction ATS: Chicago
Season Record: 18-14