President Trump
President Trump's immigration policies might drive away Latino voters during the midterms.

The Latino vote is seen as critical to Democrats if they want to flip the House in the November midterm elections.

In 2024, President Trump made inroads with Latino voters on his path back to the White House. The Associated Press reported that Trump garnered 43 percent of Latino voters in 2024, an eight-point increase over 2020. The wire service reported that the swing largely was driven by economic concerns.

The 2024 results were part of a larger trend of Latinos drifting away from Democrats, which had begun in 2016.

However, the harshness of Trump's ongoing immigration policies and comments he has made regarding immigrant communities have caused his support among Latinos to crater.

In June, a Fox News poll had only 31 percent of Latinos approving of his job performance, with 69 percent disapproving. That represented a substantial shift from March 2025, when a Fox News poll showed 44 percent of Latinos approving of Trump and only 55 percent disapproving.

An AP-NORC poll in May 2026, found that more than half of all Latino adults said they had known someone who had been impacted by Trump's immigration enforcement efforts.

Read more

If Latino voters swing hard against Republicans, it could prove decisive in many key congressional districts and ultimately lead Democrats back into the majority in the House.

In Florida, GOP Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar is trying to hang onto her seat, but Salazar told ABC News that she believes Trump's immigration enforcement efforts had "gone too far" and that Republicans need to "wake up."

"ICE should have only concentrated on those people who have a criminal record ... Everything is out of fear, and I'm tired of it because it's time for us to keep that voting bloc that voted for the president in 2024," she told ABC News.

However, Republican Consultant Mike Madrid, who studies Latino voters, told ABC News that the economy still was the core issue.

"Both parties just devolve into these petty, irrelevant cultural battles that are not speaking to anybody's concerns. What you end up with is Latinos voting against whoever is in power and punishing them for the economic issues that aren't being addressed," Madrid told ABC News.

A UnidosUS poll in May found that Latinos were discontented and planning to vote in November. According to the poll, 76 percent said they intended to vote in the midterms.

About 68 percent of respondents said the country was headed in the wrong direction, while two-thirds said that President Trump and congressional Republicans weren't focused enough on improving the economy.

Also, only 25 percent of Latinos who voted for Trump in 2024 said they'd do so again.