Khalil Mack Chicago Bears
Danny Trevathan #59, Khalil Mack #52 and Bilal Nichols #98 of the Chicago Bears defense huddle on the field against the Detroit Lions during the first half at Ford Field on November 22, 2018 in Detroit, Michigan. Leon Halip/Getty Images

Only one team is a significant favorite on Wild-Card Weekend. The Chicago Bears are laying nearly a touchdown at home against the Philadelphia Eagles, and they shouldn’t have much trouble with the defending Super Bowl champions.

Nick Foles has the Eagles playing well after taking over for the injured Carson Wentz, but that is the only real parallel to last year’s title run. This is not the same team that brought the franchise its first Super Bowl a season ago.

The Eagles didn’t have to go on the road during last year’s postseason run. Philadelphia won’t play a home game in the 2019 NFL Playoffs, and they’ll be visiting a team that’s been dominant at home. Chicago is 7-1 at Soldier Field, having only been beaten by the New England Patriots.

It’s been the Bears’ defense that’s kept most visiting teams from even being competitive in Chicago. The NFC North champions surrendered 14.6 points per game in their seven home victories, giving them the best defense in the conference.

Foles has put up solid numbers during Philadelphia’s three-game winning streak, but it's been forever since a quarterback played well against the Bears.

The Bears held Kirk Cousins to 132 passing yards in the season finale. Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times by Chicago in Week 15 while throwing for no touchdowns and an interception. Jared Goff completed fewer than half of his pass attempts and was picked off four times in Week 14. Matthew Stafford had two touchdowns and four interceptions against the Bears in Week 11 and Week 13.

Tom Brady was the last quarterback to even have a decent game against the Bears, doing so in New England’s victory two and a half months ago.

That’s why Chicago leads the league by a mile with an opponents’ passer rating of 72.9. No other team is holding signal callers to a passer rating below 80.0. With a league-high 27 interceptions, Chicago has five more picks than passing touchdowns allowed. The Minnesota Vikings have the second-best ratio with three more touchdowns than interceptions.

The Bears are also first in rushing defense and yards allowed per play. Khalil Mack and his 12.5 sacks helped Chicago take down the quarterback more than any other NFC team.

Don’t expect Philadelphia to win a low-scoring affair on the road. The secondary has been decimated by injuries with nine different players playing cornerback in 2018. The Eagles are 23rd in total yards allowed and yards allowed per play.

Philadelphia had the No.4 defense in last year’s Super Bowl season.

There are certainly questions about Mitchell Trubisky’s ability to win playoff games on the road, but there shouldn’t be much concern regarding the Bears’ offense in Chicago. The team scored at least 24 points in all but one of their home games.

The Bears have won eight straight games with Trubisky under center. Look for that streak to be extended to nine Sunday afternoon.

Prediction: Chicago over Philadelphia, 24-10