NFL Week 17 Picks Against The Spread 2018: Predictions ATS, Updated Odds For Every Game

The final week of the NFL season features four double-digit favorites, including three teams laying at least 13 points. Two more teams are favored by more than a field goal, and there’s only one betting line on the schedule of less than a field goal.

Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 17 of the 2018 NFL season, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+6.5) at Houston Texans

Houston is the right play with the point spread below a touchdown. The Texans need this game in order to win the AFC South. Jacksonville doesn’t have an offense capable of making any kind of comeback if they fall behind, and they won’t have much motivation to do so with their season already over.

Prediction ATS: Houston

Detroit Lions (+8) at Green Bay Packers

Both teams will finish below .500 and are eliminated from contention. Taking the points is the best option, but there’s little reason to bet on or even watch this game.

Prediction ATS: Detroit

Atlanta Falcons (+1.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Falcons are just 2-5 on the road, having beaten a Redskins’ team that doesn’t have any offensive firepower and a Panthers’ team that was forced to start Taylor Heinicke at quarterback. Tampa Bay is fourth in yards per play, and they’ve put up a lot of points against bad defenses this season. Atlanta is 27th in total defense and tied for 25th in points allowed.

Prediction ATS: Tampa Bay

New York Jets (+13.5) at New England Patriots

Sam Darnold is starting to show why the Jets traded up to draft him. He’s posted a triple-digit passer rating in consecutive games with five touchdowns and no interceptions. New York has been very competitive over the last month. New England is averaging just 21.3 points in their last six games.

Prediction ATS: New York

Miami Dolphins (+3.5) at Buffalo Bills

In a game between two bad teams that aren’t headed for the playoffs, the only pick is to take the team that’s getting more than a field goal. Since upsetting the Vikings in Week 3, the Bills have beaten just one opponent by more than three points.

Prediction ATS: Miami

Chicago Bears (+4.5) at Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings haven’t beaten a playoff team all season long, and Kirk Cousins seems to have a penchant for coming up short when the spotlight is on him. This could be a big day for Chicago’s pass rush against a bad Vikings’ offensive line. The Bears will try to win this one since they’re still alive for a first-round bye.

Prediction ATS: Chicago

Cincinnati Bengals (+14.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers

The Bengals have shown some pride in the last three weeks, going 1-2 with two losses by one score. Cincinnati hasn’t been beaten by more than two touchdowns since Nov. 11. Pittsburgh is 2-4 in their last six games, and those two victories came by 11 total points.

Prediction ATS: Cincinnati

Cleveland Browns (+6) at Baltimore Ravens

Even though Cleveland has taken advantage of a weak schedule, they’ve been impressive with five wins in their last six games. The Browns’ only loss during that stretch came when Baker Mayfield threw three interceptions in Houston, and the Ravens are near the bottom of the league in takeaways. Cleveland has a win over Baltimore this season, and the Ravens have played a lot of close games while going 5-1 with Lamar Jackson as the starting quarterback.

Prediction ATS: Cleveland

Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) at Washington Redskins

The Eagles are going to win this game. Philadelphia needs a victory to keep their playoff hopes alive, and they are playing good football with Nick Foles back as the starting quarterback. Washington has nothing on the line, and they can’t compete with a team that can score because of all their injuries.

Prediction ATS: Philadelphia

San Francisco 49ers (+10) at Los Angeles Rams

The 49ers are winless on the road, going 0-3 against playoff teams with an average margin of defeat of 15.3 points in those games. The Rams will be looking to secure a first-round bye. Los Angeles has dominated bad teams all season long. After beating the Cardinals 31-9, the Rams are 5-0 against teams that have five wins or fewer, winning each game by at least 14 points.

Prediction ATS: Los Angeles

Carolina Panthers (+8.5) at New Orleans Saints

You can’t lay this many points with a team that has nothing to play for. The Saints are expected to begin the game with their regular starters on the field, but it’s hard to believe players like Drew Brees will be out there for long with the No.1 seed already in hand.

Prediction ATS: Carolina

Dallas Cowboys (+6) at New York Giants

When the Cowboys had the No.1 seed clinched in Week 17 of the 2016 season, the starters sat for most of the game and Dallas lost by 14 points to a mediocre Eagles’ team. Look for Sunday’s contest against the Giants to go the same way with the Cowboys locked in as the NFC’s No.4 seed.

Prediction ATS: New York

Oakland Raiders (+13.5) at Kansas City Chiefs

The Raiders have seemingly quit a few times this season when falling behind by a few scores. That could certainly happen in the season finale when Oakland is ready to end what’s been a miserable season and Kansas City is looking to clinch home-field advantage through the AFC playoffs. The Chiefs are 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games against the Raiders.

Prediction ATS: Kansas City

Arizona Cardinals (+13.5) at Seattle Seahawks

No one has more motivation to lose in Week 17 than the Cardinals, who will secure the No.1 pick in the 2019 NFL draft with a loss. Seattle will probably rest a few players that are banged as they prepare for the wild-card round, but the Seahawks should try to win and avoid a first-round matchup in Chicago.

Prediction ATS: Seattle

Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5) at Denver Broncos

There’s no reason to have any faith in the Broncos. During their three-game losing streak, Denver has been beaten by two of the worst teams in football. The Broncos have lost some of their best players to injuries. They’ve got nothing on the line and their head coach is likely to be fired when the season ends. Los Angeles is the NFL’s best road team, and they need this game to have a shot at the AFC’s No.1 seed.

Prediction ATS: Los Angeles

Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) at Tennessee Titans

It’s unknown if Marcus Mariota will play, and the quarterback doesn’t sound close to 100 percent with the biggest game of the season just around the corner. Indianapolis has been beaten just once since starting the season 1-5, averaging nearly 28 points during that span. The Colts are one of six teams that hold opponents below 4.0 yards per carry, and the Titans won’t score much if Derrick Henry doesn’t have a big night.

Prediction ATS: Indianapolis

Season Record: 106-126-8