CRUDE OIL

Iran Sees Hormuz As Trump's Waterloo. That May Not Be The Case.

US President Donald Trump
The strategy poses risk as the US war has heaped misery on Tehran on multiple counts. Strikes have decimated Iran's top leadership, navy and air force. Iran's own economy is in shambles and Iranians who hit the streets in protests months ago against the regime, could latch on to economic misery to trigger an uprising again. These are factors which could upset Tehran's calculations.

Skirting Hormuz Is A Logistical Nightmare. Time To Pursue Such A Passage Has Arrived.

Strait of Hormuz on a ship-tracking website.
Experts have cited logistical nightmares and security threats that make skirting the Hormuz a daunting scenario. Alternative pipelines won't be sufficient to curb reliance on Hormuz as these have only a combined maximum capacity of about nine million barrels per day, compared to 20 million bpd that transited through Hormuz during peace time. But still, work is being carried out on such projects.
the rise in global oil prices

OPEC+ Agrees To Boost Oil Output. It May Not Reflect In Market Soon.

Export disruptions from the Gulf, Russia and Kazakhstan due to geopolitical conflicts meant that successive OPEC+ have remained largely on paper, causing little impact on the market. Major oil producers in the Gulf have not been able to increase exports due to the closure of Hormuz enforced by Iran.
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Top banks have provided $6.9 trillion in financing to the fossil fuel industry since the 2015 Paris Agreement

US, Japanese Banks Lead Fossil Fuel Financing

The world's biggest banks financed fossil fuels to the tune of $705 billion in 2023, with US and Japanese lenders leading the way, an annual report by climate campaigners said Monday.
The US guided-missile destroyer USS Carney shot down more than a dozen drones in the Red Sea launched from Huthi-controlled areas of Yemen, defense officials say

Oil Prices Surge In Wake Of Red Sea Attacks

Oil prices shot up nearly 3% on Monday as more companies suspended shipping through the Red Sea following attacks on vessels by Yemen's Iran-backed Huthi rebels.

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