The direct and indirect economic effects will become meaningful if the shutdown continues, and the market’s benign assessment will have a downward risk, economists tell International Business Times.
The U.S. economy will be more resilient than other major global economies as it benefits from fiscal stimulus measures of the previous year, Nariman Behravesh, chief economist at IHS Markit, has said.
The University of San Diego School of Business professor said cross-border mergers and acquisitions will become more difficult going forward.
Hedge funds have had a lackluster year and senior and mid-level investment professionals, especially at the smaller firms, may see bonuses down by 20 percent or more.
Cautious home buyers, rising interest rates, tax law changes and a mountain of student loan debt are holding back the housing market. But analysts told the International Business Times that there is no bubble building up, unlike in 2008.
Analysts told International Business Times that the truce is unlikely to have any impact on the U.S. economy, and will be extended after the 90-day initial period.
Analysts say a positive Trump-Xi meeting at the G20 summit may have a positive result: make the U.S. hold back from further raising tariffs on Chinese exports from Jan. 1, 2019.
As Democrats are widely expected to take the House, analysts said history shows it is not a bad thing for the markets.
Analysts told International Business Times that markets will reflect an expected slowdown in global growth next year.
Turkey’s central bank will prefer to watch October and November inflation before making a call on hiking rates in December, ABN Amro economist.
Investment strategist Hugh Johnson told International Business Times that the stocks are undervalued and the S&P could close the year higher than current levels.
Analysts spoke to International Business Times on how China’s policymakers have responded to Trump’s tariffs, and which countries will likely gain from the trade war.
But the 25 percent tariffs from January, 2019, could slow Chinese growth, raise U.S. inflation and put more downward pressure on emerging markets.
Analysts who spoke to International Business Times thought the deal gave the best possible outcome for Canada but offered little to the United States.
Analysts polled by International Business Times say the 2-10’s yield curve is not a reliable tool to indicate an upcoming recession, when the economy is doing strong.
Despite the political pressure to spend on election promises, which has fueled talks of an ‘Italexit,’ the heavy economic costs of such a move will deter Italy’s politicians from walking out of the EU.
DBS analysts forecast the rupee to collapse to 75 against the dollar by the end of 2019.
Analysts think the deal is “overhyped” but it provides President Donald Trump with a talking point for the midterm elections.
Hugh Johnson sees parallels in the Turkey financial crisis and the crisis that engulfed Southeast Asia in 1997-98, and talks of the implications for global markets and investors.
Most analysts polled by International Business Times/Newsweek say a weak global demand, stronger dollar and trade war worries will keep a lid on crude oil prices.