Pokemon Go 2017 Events
Niantic is expected to bring many new types of Pokémon to Pokémon Go this year, including Legendary Pokémon and Shiny Pokémon. Flickr/Eduardo Woo

Pokémon Go Gen 2 arrived in an update in mid-February, but trainers are still trying to uncover the patch’s deepest secrets. Namely, the five new Evolution Items that transform select Kanto creatures into Johto ones are insanely hard to find. As such, users on reddit have come up with a few theories to explain successful drops.

Read: Pokémon Go Plus Is Still Having Major Connection Issues

One of the most high-profile examples popped up on the Silph Road Monday afternoon. A user by the name of mojurico discovered he was able to get a King’s Rock, Sun Stone and Dragon Scale by going to different PokéStops at the exact same time each day. Specifically, he noted that stopping at 4:50 p.m. seemed to increase his odds of a lucky drop.

This fact has lead many users to question if time might somehow be a factor in how evolution items are doled out. Is there a specific window where users from different regions are more likely to get Evolution Items? While the sourced sample is undoubtedly small, there’s a suggestion of that possibility. Other users didn’t quite prove a pattern down to exact minutes, but many agreed Evolution Items do tend to drop in consecutive spins shortly after one another. In that sense timing remains a consistent element.

Regardless, the drop rate of these prized possessions remains absurdly low. A study on Ranked Boost suggests items for Gen 2 evolutions only drop about 0.14 percent of the time. That number shrinks to 0.03 percent if there’s a specific item you’re looking for. A recent survey of approximately 700 players also showed that only 3 percent received one item over the past week. The only thing that seems to be confirmed is that trainers must be at level 10 or higher to encounter them at all.

Of course, sparse Evolution Items aren’t the only concern in the Pokémon Go community right now. The Pokémon Go Plus continues to have connection issues, and recent updates are still causing crashes. All the while, the game’s Niantic development team continues to tease new features coming soon.

Pokémon Go is available now on iOS and Android.

Do you have any theories about the drop rate of evolution items in Pokémon Go? Is time a factor? Tell us in the comments section!