• Deaths per day from COVID-19 in the U.S. are expected to fall to zero by mid-July
  • Before getting there, U.S. has to endure three months of unrelenting terror as the casualty toll from COVID-19 skyrockets
  • Deaths are expected to peak April 14, according to one estimate 

The horrendous warning Sunday by Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, up to 200,000 Americans might die this year from COVID-19 with some 2,000,000 more infected confirms the grave threat this virus presents to all Americans.

Dr. Fauci's remarks are backed-up by data from modeling and projections, which are united in the massive toll the coronavirus will inflict on Americans. Some of these projections estimate deaths in the U.S. will peak in April, slow down in May before finally petering out some time towards the end July. This means Americans are in store for four more months of unrelenting horror that might exceed the already terrible scenes out of Italy and France bombarding them daily.

Modeling conducted by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington (IHME), estimates April 14 will be the day that sees the highest number of deaths per day in the U.S. from COVID-19. IHME predicts 2,341 new deaths on April 14 (a Tuesday) alone. The 15 days from March 30 until April 14 will see an unbroken and massive rise in the daily death toll.

IHME estimates 729 new deaths per day on March 31; 938 new deaths per day on April 1; 1,246 deaths per day on April 3; 1,561 deaths on April 5; 1,855 deaths on April 7; 2,092 deaths on April 9; 2,253 deaths on April 11 and 2,334 deaths on April 13.

Deaths will begin to slide from April 18 onwards, which is projected to see 2,233 deaths per day. New deaths by April 30 are expected to drop further to 1,354. By May 15, this toll is expected to shrink to 552 per day and to 205 by May 31. The toll by June 15 is estimated at 77 and 25 by June 30. IHME expects no deaths on July 16.

By August 4, IHME projects a total of 81,114 COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. This death toll projection has a 95% confidence interval of 7,977 to 251,059 deaths. IHME also provides projections for each U.S. state.

As of 22:21 GMT Sunday, the U.S. still led the world in total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases. Massive testing nationwide has uncovered 140,960 cases, an increase of 17,382 from Saturday, and 2,457 deaths, a rise of 237, according to data website, Worldometer.

The world reported 720,187 confirmed cases Sunday (up 57,060) and 33,903 deaths (up 3,042) and 150,918 recoveries. On the other hand, 718,685 total confirmed global cases were reported by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University.

Projected Deaths per day from COVID-19 until July 2020
Projected Deaths per day from COVID-19 until July 2020 IHME